The Economist Projects Tinubu to Win 2027 Presidential Election

The Economist, a United Kingdom-based publication, has projected that President Bola Ahmed Tinubu could win Nigeria’s 2027 presidential election, citing the country’s complex electoral dynamics and divisions within the opposition.

In its latest edition, the publication acknowledged the security and economic challenges facing Nigeria but noted that some of the Tinubu administration’s economic reforms, including the removal of fuel subsidies, had contributed to increased government revenue, falling inflation and improved investment activity.

However, it identified insecurity, particularly in northern Nigeria, as a major challenge confronting the administration.

The Economist also described the opposition as fragmented, arguing that the lack of a united opposition platform could affect efforts to consolidate votes against the ruling All Progressives Congress (APC).

It quoted Joachim MacEbong of Control Risks as saying: “Because it’s not a united ticket, that anti-APC vote is not coalesced into a single vote.”

The publication also cited public sentiment in Maiduguri, where it said some residents claimed they were unfamiliar with other presidential contenders apart from President Tinubu.

PIG projects APC ahead of rivals

Separately, the Political Intelligence Group (PIG) of Politico.ng has projected the APC ahead of the African Democratic Congress (ADC) and the New Nigeria Democratic Congress (NDC) in its October electoral map.

The group’s assessment allocated 19 states to the APC, 10 to the NDC and eight to the ADC.

PIG stressed that the projection was a snapshot of the political landscape based on developments at the time of its assessment and could change as new political developments emerge.

Among the developments it identified during September were the reported denial of entry into Benue State involving former Anambra State governor and presidential contender Peter Obi, as well as controversy surrounding President Tinubu’s working vacation.

The group also cited former Vice President Atiku Abubakar’s continued criticism of the fuel subsidy policy and what it described as a change in his position as part of the political developments monitored during the month.

North-Central APC plans major mobilisation

Meanwhile, APC stakeholders in the North-Central have announced plans to mobilise voters across the zone for President Tinubu ahead of the 2027 election.

The stakeholders, comprising governors, political appointees and party leaders from Benue, Kogi, Kwara, Nasarawa, Niger and Plateau states, as well as the Federal Capital Territory, fixed October 10, 2026, for a mass rally in Lafia, Nasarawa State.

The decision was reached at a planning meeting of the North Central Grassroots Mobilisation Movement held at the Office of the Secretary to the Government of the Federation in Abuja.

APC National Chairman, Prof. Nentawe Yilwatda, said the stakeholders had agreed to intensify mobilisation across the zone in support of Tinubu.

He said the October 10 rally would bring together APC members and supporters from the six North-Central states and the FCT.

Yilwatda said the group also planned to establish a reconciliation committee to resolve internal disagreements and unite party members ahead of the election.

Medical outreach, grassroots campaign planned

The mobilisation programme will also include medical outreach initiatives targeting vulnerable residents across the North-Central.

According to Secretary to the Government of the Federation, Senator George Akume, the programme will feature a major rally in Lafia, medical outreach activities and a grassroots advocacy tour involving town-hall meetings.

The advocacy campaign is expected to cover the 19 senatorial districts across the six North-Central states and the Federal Capital Territory.

Akume said the medical outreach would include eye screening, treatment, refraction and prescription of spectacles, cataract assessments and selected cataract surgeries where facilities are available.

Other services will include glaucoma screening and diabetic eye examinations.

He said the mobilisation programme, developed by National Coordinator of the movement, Arch. Sonny Echono, his team and other stakeholders, had received the endorsement of the APC National Secretariat.

The Chairman of the movement and Nasarawa State Governor, Abdullahi Sule, also provided guidance on areas to be prioritised during the mobilisation and campaign activities.

Other political leaders present at the meeting included former Plateau State Governor, Senator Simon Lalong, Minister of Information and National Orientation, Mohammed Idris, and other APC leaders and government officials from the region.

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